The 10-year treasury yield ended with a weekly shooting star last week, briefly rising above two percent. Only about two and a half months ago, rates were 1.34 percent. The 10-year may be ready to unwind at least some of … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 8, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 201.9k, down 73k. The minutes for the January 25-26 meeting are scheduled for next Wednesday. This was the year’s first FOMC meeting, during which … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 1, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 274.9k, up 10.2k. Last Wednesday when the FOMC concluded its meeting and Fed Chair Jerome Powell announced there was “quite a bit of room” … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 25, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 264.7k, down 6.8k. Jerome Powell, Fed chairman, has a task at hand – to bring inflation, the likes of which has not been seen … Continued
The FOMC meets this week. Stocks are adjusting to an increasingly hawkish Fed, which is belatedly alarmed by the persistently rising inflation. At some point, the long end of the treasury yield curve is likely to cry uncle, putting earnings … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 18, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 271.4k, down 72.4k. The FOMC meets next week. This will be the year’s first scheduled meeting, and seven more remain after this. Members will … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 11, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 343.8k, up 66.9k. Last week, the 10-year treasury yield closed right at 1.77 percent, which was the high from last March. Since that peak, … Continued
Last week’s hawkish FOMC minutes sent stocks lower. The Fed not only is accelerating the recently-begun tapering of bond purchases but also getting ready to hike rates. Chances are it will also begin to shrink its bloated balance sheet in … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 4, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 276.9k, up 63.6k. The December 14-15 FOMC minutes, out Wednesday, revealed that the Fed was more determined to snatch the punch bowl away from … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 28, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 213.3k, down 126k. FOMC minutes for the December 14-15 meeting come out on Wednesday. This was a meeting in which markets essentially forced the … Continued