CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 20, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 345.2k, up 71.2k. Last week, 10-year T-yields lost – albeit ever so slightly – a rising trend line from last July.  Back then, yields … Continued

Shortly After Range Breakout, Russell 2000 Repelled At Rising Channel Resistance

Post-presidential election last November, a fire was lit under U.S. small-caps.  Between November 8 and December 9, IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) jumped north of 16 percent.  QQQ (PowerShares Nasdaq 100 ETF) only rallied two percent during the period. As … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 13, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 274k, up 61.9k. Market reaction to the FOMC decision Wednesday smacked of confusion, to say the least. As expected, the Fed raised the fed … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 6, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 212.1k, down 46.1k. The Fed is all set to hike next week.  Futures are pricing in 99.6-percent odds of a 25-basis-point increase.  This will … Continued

Having Failed In Feb And Apr, Russell 2000 Attempts Another Range Breakout – Flows Not Cooperating

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Third time is a charm for small-caps? Having tried – and failed – twice to break out of a months-long range, the Russell 2000 small cap index went for a third one last week.  Odds favor it meets with the … Continued

Public Embraces Stock Rally – Will Crazy Get Crazier?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

ETF.com carried a story on June 1 stating that U.S.-listed ETFs took in $32.7 billion in inflows in May.  Year-to-May, a total of $203.8 billion came in.  International equity ETFs made it big, as seven of the top 10 belonged … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 30, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 258.2k, down 104.3k. “If the tension between the progress on employment and the lack of progress on inflation persists, it may lead me to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 23, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 362.5k, up 122.5k. FOMC minutes for the May 2-3 meeting were released Wednesday.  Post-statement, futures priced in 83 percent odds of a 25-basis-point hike … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures — How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 16, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 240k, up 10.9k. Non-commercials nailed it.  In the prior week, they had built net longs to the highest since December 2007, and were rewarded.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 9, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 229.1k, up 49.2k. Back into the nearly six-month range … or near range support, to be precise. Since the election last November, 10-year yields … Continued

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