CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of April 5, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The FOMC minutes for the March 15-16 meeting were released this week, and there was nothing substantially new. That said, maybe because FOMC … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 29, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The back and forth between the two camps within the FOMC continues.  Last week, several members used public forums to express hawkish opinion … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 22, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: This could not get any funnier. A week after the FOMC statement, and later Janet Yellen, Fed chair, shifted message from hawkish to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 15, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Major central banks are in a race as to who can ‘shock and awe’ the markets the most. On January 29th, Haruhiko Kuroda, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 8, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The FOMC meets next week, and it is a given.  They will stand pat on interest rate, but the dot plot likely sees … Continued

Amidst Extremely Overbought Conditions, Major Indices At/Near Major Resistance

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. stocks have come a long way since February 11th. Intra-day, off that low through last Friday’s high, here is how much major U.S. indices have rallied: Dow Industrials, 10.1 percent; S&P 500 large cap index (Chart 1), 11 percent; … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 1, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Unbelievable!  The Japanese government is getting paid to borrow money for a decade.  For the first time ever, Japan sells 10-year bonds at … Continued

IWM Breakout Or Fake-out? Futures Market Likely Decides

U.S. small-caps are rallying.  Rallying hard.  Harder than several of their peers. Since the intra-day low on February 11th, the Russell 2000 small cap index is up just north of 14 percent, also breaking out of 1035.  This level approximates … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 23, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Negative interest rates have suddenly become the topic du jour.  Last month, Japan waded into negative interest rate policy (NIRP).  This was totally … Continued