CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of October 13, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Central bankers were probably busy scratching their heads this week.  Despite trillions in quantitative easing and their valiant effort to push inflation above … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 22, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Last week, post-FOMC decision not to hike, stocks fell.  They had rallied strongly into the meeting, and were probably set to drop either … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 8, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: More jawboning this week!  Following in the footsteps of Christine Lagarde, IMF managing director, Kaushik Basu, World Bank chief economist, says the Fed … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 1, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The IMF is at it again.  This week, it reiterated its stance that advanced economies should maintain accommodative monetary policies.  By that it … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 25, 2015.  Change is week-over-week.  (Please keep in mind that these holdings are as of Tuesday.  By then, from high to low the S&P 500 was down 12.5 percent.  In … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials contained in the Commitment of Traders report as of August 18, 2015.  Change is week-over-week.  (Please note that these holdings are as of Tuesday.  The S&P 500 swooned six percent in the next … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 11, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: How might the renminbi devaluation impact the Fed’s desire to hike rates this year?  The devaluation is at least disinflationary as far U.S. … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 4, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell told CNBC on Wednesday that he has not made up his mind yet on whether interest rates should … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 28, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The following from the FOMC statement drew a lot of attention: “The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target … Continued

In Wake Of Huge Tuesday Reversal, Short Put On IWM

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. small-caps have been through a lot in recent months.  Chart 1 says it all.  Will that change following Tuesday’s huge reversal? Since the Russell 2000 Index (1224.6) broke the mid-October 2014 trend line toward the end of April, it … Continued