Spot VIX Sub-13 For 3 Straight Sessions, Volatility Curve In Steep Contango

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The last time spot VIX closed under 13 for three consecutive sessions was in early August last year.  In fact, VIX back then stayed sub-13 for four straight sessions ended August 3rd, and registered three more sub-13 readings by August … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 11, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: How might the renminbi devaluation impact the Fed’s desire to hike rates this year?  The devaluation is at least disinflationary as far U.S. … Continued

Volatility’s Volatile Journey Of Late — Where To From Here?

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Of late, volatility has been volatile. In the past month, VIX, the S&P 500 Volatility Index, has done a complete round trip – surging 68 percent in 11 sessions and then giving it all back in the next eight.  As … Continued

“Stability breeds instability”

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Equities | 0

Short interest continues to inch up.  By June-end, Nasdaq’s went up 0.6 percent period-over-period to 8.9bn – highest since end-September 2008 – and NYSE’s edged up 0.7 percent p/p to 14.6bn.  What is going on in the Naz in particular … Continued