Trying To Decipher Message From Stocks’ Horrible Start To Year

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

While there are some signs of near-term capitulation in equities – further raising odds of continuation of rally post-Wednesday reversal – it is perhaps also time to ruminate over why markets started the year all jittery and restless. From intra-day … Continued

Despite Worries, Oil Exporters And China Hanging On To US Treasurys

posted in: Currency, Economy, Equities | 0

Crude oil peaked in June 2014.  As months went by and the price decline picked up momentum, there were growing worries as to if this would force major oil exporters to begin to unwind their Treasury holdings. Obviously this would … Continued

Market Mayhem — Watching Oil, Yuan, And VIX For Stability Signs

What a start?  The year 2016 has gotten off to an ominous start.  The S&P 500 large cap index is down 4.9 percent in the first four sessions – the worst four-day start to a year.  Some others like the … Continued

Inflation/Inflation Expectations And Fed’s Desire To Hike On Divergent Paths

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

“The assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.” The above is from the October 28th FOMC statement … Continued

No, China Is Not Selling U.S. Treasurys, But Foreigners Continue To Shun U.S. Equities

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

Back in early August, China engineered a fall in the yuan.  Soon followed investor hand-wringing over whether or not it would be selling its Treasury holdings in order to stabilize the currency.  The Chinese economy is slowing, and capital outflows … Continued