CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 1, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 909.3k, up 70.3k. Going into the two-day FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting ending on the 16th... READ MORE
With Sep Hike Looking Probable, Equity Bulls May Have Hard Time To Continue To Sell Story Of Unsustainable Profit Growth Of Last 2 Quarters
An interest-rate hike next month is looking like a certainty. Warsh’s hawkish posture on inflation, which has remained above the Fed’s target for more than five years, comes at a time when corporate... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 25, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 839k, down 108k. Once again, futures traders have brought rate-hike expectations forward to September (15-16) from December... READ MORE
With Deficit Spending 5%-6% Of GDPn And Government Interest Payments Through The Roof, Bessent Seeks To Mold Long Rates Lower
Markets are confused. Rate-hike expectations on the short end have been pushed back to December from September. Yields, however, are rallying on the long end. Just a few weeks ago, Fed Chair Warsh... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 18, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 947k, up 31.9k. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is taking on the bond market and could very well... READ MORE
As Investors Intelligence Bearish % Go Sub-15%, S&P 500, Russell 2000 Rally To New Highs, Yet Tech-Heavy Nasdaq 100 Lags
The Nasdaq 100 continues to lag, while the Russell 2000 last week followed on the footsteps of the S&P 500 with a breakout of its own. Bearish investor sentiment in the meantime is... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 11, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 915.1k, down 64.2k. FOMC minutes for the July 28-29 meeting will be published on Wednesday. During the... READ MORE
S&P 500 Breaks Out, Russell 2000 On Verge Of One, And Laggard Nasdaq 100 Has Work To Do
Broader large-caps broke out to a new high last week responding to a dismal July jobs report and lower oil prices, even as small-caps seem poised for a breakout. But the tech-heavy Nasdaq... READ MORE