Amidst Dichotomy Of Record Low Consumer Sentiment And Record Retail Sales, Major Equity Indices Break Out To New Highs
The major US equity indices have all accumulated massive gains over the last three weeks. Rallies of such magnitude over such a short period of time do not occur very often and come... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 14, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 800.4k, down 23.3k. The 10-year treasury yield is back at testing crucial horizontal support at 4.20s. This... READ MORE
After Sharp 2-Week Rally, Major Equity Indices Find Themselves At/Near Potentially Crucial Trendline Resistance
VIX last week breached late-December trendline support but remains above the important 200-day. Concurrently, after a massive rally off the March 30 low, which was probably aided by short-covering, the major equity indices... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 7, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 823.6k, up 39.6k. Non-commercials are once again aggressively adding to net shorts in 10-year futures, with the... READ MORE
Led By Short-Covering Or Not, Last Week’s Rally Overdue As Equity Indices Have Remained Under Pressure For Weeks Now
It is too soon to say if last week’s rally was primarily the result of short-covering. It may be, but the fact remains that equity bulls did defend important support. A relief rally... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 31, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 784.1k, up 142.2k. Minutes of the March 17-18 FOMC meeting are due out Wednesday. Markets do not... READ MORE
Investors Intelligence Bearish Percent Jumps But Nowhere Near Past Peaks For Durable Bottom In Major Equity Indices
Equity bears’ count is rising but is nowhere near past peak levels. With bulls having struggled to capitalize on opportunities, the major equity indices have taken a hit but may continue to come... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 24, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 641.9k, up 44k. Borrowing costs are rising – on the long end. The 10-year treasury yield has... READ MORE