Equities Cheer Weak Jobs Report For September, Hoping This Would Dissuade Inflation-Focused Fed From Hiking This Month
Several crosscurrents are at work in the investing land currently. Equity bulls are at a stage when they are having to celebrate a disappointing jobs report. But the Fed currently is not focused... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 29, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 900.6k, up 88.9k. FOMC minutes for the September 15-16 meeting are due out Wednesday. The fed funds... READ MORE
Equity Bulls Wasting Opportunity To Build On Last Week’s Momentum At/Near Prior Highs
In a market that is too top-heavy, large-cap equity indices are struggling to decisively break out to new highs. At last Tuesday’s intraday high of 7782, equity bulls rallied the S&P 500 within... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 22, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 811.8k, down 9.5k. Lateral support at 4.75s on the 10-year treasury yield was never tested, with this... READ MORE
Equity Bulls’ Near-Term Upside Potential Yet To Factor In Prospects For Higher Interest Rates
The Fed raised rates for the first time in just over three years. Equities are acting as if it is one, or two, and done. But futures traders are pricing in three more... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 15, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 821.2k, down 13.5k. Markets were begging the Federal Reserve’s FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) to hike, and... READ MORE
Equity Indices Last Friday Acted As If Probable FOMC Hike This Week Was In The Price, But It May Be A Little Early To Reach That Conclusion
The FOMC has the green signal from both jobs and inflation to tighten policy this week. The major equity indices on Friday – the day August’s CPI was published – behaved as if... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 8, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 834.8k, down 74.5k. Last week, August’s much-better-than-expected jobs report – creating 162,000 non-farm jobs coupled with an... READ MORE